Trophy Odds - A Numerical Breakdown

[Oaks]

Hello fellow plungers. I’ve been frequenting this forum for quite some time now and have noticed the question regarding trophy odds arise many times. 1 in 3 or 1 in 4 seems to be the most common response. However, no one has ever broken it down into numbers … until now ;)

As of September 4th, I decided to keep track of the number of trophies won against the number course completions. These stats were taken from the "Polar Plummet" slope only.

Times Finished: 1000
Trophies Won: 302
This is a ratio of 1 in 3.3

Further Breakdown:
100 Trophies after 316 Finishes (1 in 3.16)
200 Trophies after 616 Finishes (1 in 3.08)
300 Trophies after 989 Finishes (1 in 3.29)

I don’t know if I’m just having back luck or if the odds have changed; but over the past month it seems much more like a 1 in 5 chance to win a trophy (figured this was worth mentioning). Has anyone else noticed this as well?

Snowflakes don’t seem to affect the outcome either; all they do is slow you down. Perhaps they were originally added as a KinzCash bonus if you picked one up, but was never implemented (just my theory).

Anyhow, I hope these stats help clarify the answers to your questions. Allow me to leave you with a screenshot of one of my trophy rooms for inspiration – which also doubles as my bragging rights :)

Keep on plungin’

[muffy]

Wow, that is so impressive. Great job.

[WebkinzPaPa]

Thanks for the odds.

I have a question, or maybe a responce.

You asked if anyone else noticed the dropoff in the trophy give out.

Well, I have been watching my wife get closer and closer to finally finishing PP. Hours have been spent watching as she got closer and closer to finishing. Well, a couple days ago she finally broke through.

Now she is up to at least 7 times the past two days of completing it, along with maybe another 5 this past week. She has yet to receive a trophy for finishing Plummet.

Have you personally received a trophy the last couple days? and has it been closer to the 1:5? I am not sure how bad the luck can be to see her finish it 5 times the last couple hours with no trophy.

A responce of if a trophy has been found the last couple days would be nice, just so I can tell her to hang in there, she is getting frustrated, all the time spent, and now its not giving a trophy.

Thank you.

-WebkinzPapa

[tink my doxen]

WOW! i'm so bad at that game, but i love, it i have neva got a trophy WOW! *still in shock*

[Oaks]

Originally Posted by WebkinzPaPa

Thanks for the odds.

I have a question, or maybe a responce.

You asked if anyone else noticed the dropoff in the trophy give out.

Well, I have been watching my wife get closer and closer to finally finishing PP. Hours have been spent watching as she got closer and closer to finishing. Well, a couple days ago she finally broke through.

Now she is up to at least 7 times the past two days of completing it, along with maybe another 5 this past week. She has yet to receive a trophy for finishing Plummet.

Have you personally received a trophy the last couple days? and has it been closer to the 1:5? I am not sure how bad the luck can be to see her finish it 5 times the last couple hours with no trophy.

A responce of if a trophy has been found the last couple days would be nice, just so I can tell her to hang in there, she is getting frustrated, all the time spent, and now its not giving a trophy.

Thank you.

-WebkinzPapa :bas:

That must be very discouraging for her -- I can relate. You can, however, assure her that the trophy is not retired because I did win a few today. I'm still quite convinced that the odds of winning a trophy have changed within that past month or two though. It usually takes about 5 or 6 finishes before a trophy is awarded now. At one point I had finished 19 times with no trophy, but that is just a case of very bad luck I think/hope.

The good news for her is that it only gets easier once you finish the game the first time. She should also play in the tourney area for a little extra KC. If she can get 5500 points of higher she'd have a good shot at winning. That's about the average score I see there.

. . . But beware of "sla with Oaks" ;)